TSV 1860 München vs Bayreuth: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 14Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Städtisches Stadion an der Grünwalder Straße, München
The Footlab model makes TSV 1860 München the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Bayreuth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TSV 1860 München vs Bayreuth?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate TSV 1860 München (1,914) and Bayreuth (1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSV 1860 München have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Bayreuth have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(home) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Aubstadt(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Memmingen(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Illertissen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Memmingen(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 TSV 1860 München win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Bayreuth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2023 | TSV 1860 München 2-0 Bayreuth | 3. Liga |
| Dec 20, 2022 | Bayreuth 4-2 TSV 1860 München | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Bayreuth 1-0 TSV 1860 München | 3. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2020 | TSV 1860 München 2-0 Bayreuth | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: TSV 1860 München vs Bayreuth on Apr 22, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
TSV 1860 München score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Bayreuth score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSV 1860 München | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Bayreuth | 2.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TSV 1860 München sit 6th in Regionalliga - Bayern (8 points from 4 matches) and Bayreuth sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | TSV 1860 München | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 8 |
| 10 | Bayreuth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TSV 1860 München vs Bayreuth?
- The Footlab model makes TSV 1860 München the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Bayreuth.
- Where and when is TSV 1860 München vs Bayreuth played?
- TSV 1860 München vs Bayreuth is played on October 13, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Städtisches Stadion an der Grünwalder Straße, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.