Eltersdorf vs Wacker Burghausen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 14Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Langenau, Erlangen
The Footlab model makes Eltersdorf the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Wacker Burghausen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eltersdorf vs Wacker Burghausen?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Eltersdorf (1,918) and Wacker Burghausen (1,848).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eltersdorf have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Wacker Burghausen have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nürnberg II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Vilzing(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Bayern München II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Nürnberg II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Aubstadt(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bayern München II(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Ansbach(away) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Eltersdorf win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Wacker Burghausen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | Wacker Burghausen 3-0 Eltersdorf | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 24, 2021 | Eltersdorf 1-5 Wacker Burghausen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Wacker Burghausen vs Eltersdorf on Apr 23, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Eltersdorf score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wacker Burghausen score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eltersdorf | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Wacker Burghausen | 1.4 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eltersdorf sit 7th in Regionalliga - Bayern (8 points from 5 matches) and Wacker Burghausen sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Eltersdorf | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Wacker Burghausen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eltersdorf vs Wacker Burghausen?
- The Footlab model makes Eltersdorf the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Wacker Burghausen.
- Where and when is Eltersdorf vs Wacker Burghausen played?
- Eltersdorf vs Wacker Burghausen is played on October 13, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Langenau, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.