Nürnberg II vs Bayern München II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 14Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Max-Morlock-Platz im Sportpark Valznerweiher, Nürnberg
The Footlab model makes Nürnberg II the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Bayern München II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nürnberg II vs Bayern München II?
Nürnberg II starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,951 vs 1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nürnberg II have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Bayern München II have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eltersdorf(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Buchbach(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Vilzing(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Memmingen(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Eltersdorf(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 19, 2026 | SSV Ulm 1846(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nürnberg II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Bayern München II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Nürnberg II 4-1 Bayern München II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Bayern München II 0-3 Nürnberg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Bayern München II 4-0 Nürnberg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Nürnberg II 1-2 Bayern München II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Nürnberg II 2-0 Bayern München II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 11, 2023 | Bayern München II 2-2 Nürnberg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Nürnberg II vs Bayern München II on Apr 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nürnberg II score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bayern München II score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nürnberg II | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Bayern München II | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nürnberg II sit 15th in Regionalliga - Bayern (4 points from 5 matches) and Bayern München II sit 18th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nürnberg II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
| 18 | Bayern München II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nürnberg II vs Bayern München II?
- The Footlab model makes Nürnberg II the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Bayern München II.
- Where and when is Nürnberg II vs Bayern München II played?
- Nürnberg II vs Bayern München II is played on October 13, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Max-Morlock-Platz im Sportpark Valznerweiher, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.