Buchbach vs Augsburg II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 14Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)SMR-Arena, Buchbach
The Footlab model makes Buchbach the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Augsburg II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buchbach vs Augsburg II?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Buchbach (1,861) and Augsburg II (1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buchbach have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Augsburg II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ansbach(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aubstadt(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Nürnberg II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Eichstätt(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Vilzing(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Landsberg(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Bayreuth(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Buchbach win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Augsburg II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Buchbach 0-4 Augsburg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Augsburg II 0-3 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| May 2, 2025 | Buchbach 5-2 Augsburg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Augsburg II 4-3 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Augsburg II 3-0 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Buchbach 2-1 Augsburg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Buchbach vs Augsburg II on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buchbach score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Augsburg II score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buchbach | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Augsburg II | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buchbach sit 1st in Regionalliga - Bayern (11 points from 5 matches) and Augsburg II sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buchbach | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Augsburg II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buchbach vs Augsburg II?
- The Footlab model makes Buchbach the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Augsburg II.
- Where and when is Buchbach vs Augsburg II played?
- Buchbach vs Augsburg II is played on October 13, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at SMR-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 13, 2026TSV 1860 MünchenvsBayreuth
- Oct 13, 2026SpVgg UnterhachingvsLandsberg
- Oct 13, 2026FC Schweinfurt 05vsAnsbach
- Oct 13, 2026EichstättvsVilzing
- Oct 13, 2026AubstadtvsIllertissen
- Oct 13, 2026Greuther Fürth IIvsMemmingen
- Oct 13, 2026Nürnberg IIvsBayern München II
- Oct 13, 2026EltersdorfvsWacker Burghausen