Aucas vs Barcelona SC: prediction and stats
Liga ProRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
The Footlab model makes Aucas the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Barcelona SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aucas vs Barcelona SC?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Aucas (1,775) and Barcelona SC (1,795).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aucas have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Barcelona SC have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Delfin SC(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 17, 2026 | LDU de Quito(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 12, 2026 | La Unión(away) | 1-1 | Copa Ecuador |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leones del Norte(home) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Emelec(away) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Orense SC(home) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Macara(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 6, 2026 | LDU Portoviejo(away) | 1-0 | Copa Ecuador |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Leones del Norte(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aucas win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Barcelona SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Barcelona SC 3-0 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Barcelona SC 1-0 Aucas | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Barcelona SC 1-1 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Aucas 2-0 Barcelona SC | Liga Pro |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Aucas 1-1 Barcelona SC | Liga Pro |
| May 12, 2024 | Barcelona SC 1-1 Aucas | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Barcelona SC vs Aucas on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aucas score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Barcelona SC score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucas | 1.2 | 1.0 | 8 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Barcelona SC | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aucas sit 2nd in Liga Pro (44 points from 26 matches) and Barcelona SC sit 6th (39 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aucas | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 44 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 20 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aucas vs Barcelona SC?
- The Footlab model makes Aucas the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Barcelona SC.
- Where and when is Aucas vs Barcelona SC played?
- Aucas vs Barcelona SC is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, in the Liga Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.