Aucas vs El Nacional: result 3-4 and analysis
Liga Pro1st Round - 4Kick-off on March 21, 2024 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
Full time
What was the result of Aucas vs El Nacional?
El Nacional won 3-4 on March 21, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 4′J. BlancoAucas
- 8′A. ChéreEl Nacional
- 29′E. MejíaEl Nacional
- 45′J. BlancoAucas
- 61′B. PalaciosEl Nacional
- 81′J. BurbanoEl Nacional
- 85′J. BlancoAucas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aucas have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; El Nacional have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | LDU de Quito(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Tecnico Universitario(home) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Orense SC(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Nacional Asuncion(away) | 0-3 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Feb 9, 2024 | Nacional Asuncion(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | Emelec(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Macara(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 0-3 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 29, 2024 | Sportivo Trinidense(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Sportivo Trinidense(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aucas win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 El Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2023 | El Nacional 2-2 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Aucas 0-2 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Dec 9, 2020 | El Nacional 2-2 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Aug 19, 2020 | Aucas 2-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Jul 14, 2019 | Aucas 0-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Feb 16, 2019 | El Nacional 1-3 Aucas | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Aucas score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; El Nacional score 1.2 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucas | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| El Nacional | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aucas | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy