Aucas vs El Nacional: result 3-4 and analysis
Liga Pro1st Round - 4Kick-off on March 21, 2024 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
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What was the result of Aucas vs El Nacional?
El Nacional won 3-4 on March 21, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 4′J. BlancoAucas
- 8′A. ChéreEl Nacional
- 29′E. MejíaEl Nacional
- 45′J. BlancoAucas
- 61′B. PalaciosEl Nacional
- 81′J. BurbanoEl Nacional
- 85′J. BlancoAucas
Official lineup for Aucas vs El Nacional
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Aucas
4-3-3- 23J. Mohor
- 19J. Blanco
- 22L. Cano
- 10C. Tobar
- 7É. Vega
- 27M. Carcelén
- 31B. Carabalí
- 16C. Rolón
- 33L. Cangá
- 18J. González
- 24E. Reséndez
El Nacional
4-4-2- 33A. Chére
- 18B. Palacios
- 16E. Mejía
- 6M. Olmedo
- 14B. Tana
- 77T. Minda
- 27B. Torrez
- 26K. Peralta
- 4R. Cabezas
- 23D. Patiño
- 12D. Cabezas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aucas have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; El Nacional have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | LDU de Quito(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Tecnico Universitario(home) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Orense SC(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Nacional Asuncion(away) | 0-3 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Feb 9, 2024 | Nacional Asuncion(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | Emelec(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Macara(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 0-3 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 29, 2024 | Sportivo Trinidense(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Sportivo Trinidense(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aucas wins, 3 draws, 1 El Nacional win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2023 | El Nacional 2-2 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Aucas 0-2 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Dec 9, 2020 | El Nacional 2-2 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Aug 19, 2020 | Aucas 2-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Jul 14, 2019 | Aucas 0-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Feb 16, 2019 | El Nacional 1-3 Aucas | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Aucas score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; El Nacional score 1.2 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucas | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| El Nacional | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aucas | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 32 | 50 |
A question about Aucas vs El Nacional?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy