Auda vs Smiltene: result 4-1 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on May 4, 2016 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Mežaparks Sports Village, Riga
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What was the result of Auda vs Smiltene?
Auda won 4-1 on May 4, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auda have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Smiltene have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2016 | Ogre(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 24, 2016 | Olaine / Super Nova(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Preiļu BJSS(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 9, 2016 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Babīte(away) | 0-4 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2016 | Babīte(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 23, 2016 | RTU(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 13, 2016 | Skonto(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 0-7 | 1. Liga |
| Nov 7, 2015 | Riga(home) | 0-7 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Auda win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Smiltene win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2015 | Auda 4-1 Smiltene | 1. Liga |
| Jun 13, 2015 | Smiltene 1-3 Auda | 1. Liga |
| Nov 8, 2014 | Smiltene 2-3 Auda | 1. Liga |
| Jul 26, 2014 | Auda 1-3 Smiltene | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Auda score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Smiltene score 1.4 and concede 3.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auda | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Smiltene | 1.4 | 3.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Smiltene | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 4 |
| 13 | Smiltene | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy