Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz: prediction and stats
CupRound of 16Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Planet Pure Stadion, Lustenau
The Footlab AI model makes Sturm Graz the favourite at 88%, against 8% for a draw and 4% for Austria Lustenau. The most likely score is 0-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz?
Sturm Graz starts as the favourite with a 272-point Elo edge (2,108 vs 1,836).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Austria Lustenau
4-1-4-1- 39A. Verinac
- 11D. Weixelbraun
- 20L. Afrifa
- 24S. Diarra
- 17A. Gashi
- 8D. Kacuri
- 3Danilo Soares
- 29N. Pertlwieser
- 18R. Voisine
- 7F. Gmeiner
- 27D. Schierl
Sturm Graz
3-4-2-1- 14O. Diakité
- 4J. Gorenc Stankovič
- 19S. Seidl
- 78V. Matoshi
- 39Luca Weinhandl
- 43Jacob Peter Hödl
- 27L. Balbo
- 2J. Quarshie
- 23A. Malic
- 30P. Koller
- 22A. Helac
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 07:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austria Lustenau have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Sturm Graz have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(away) | 1-5 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lask Linz(home) | 0-4 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | TSV Hartberg(away) | 3-4 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | SCR Altach(home) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ried(home) | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Marseille(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Grazer AK(home) | 6-1 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Austria Vienna(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Austria Lustenau wins, 1 draw, 5 Sturm Graz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sturm Graz 1-1 Austria Lustenau | Bundesliga |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Sturm Graz 2-0 Austria Lustenau | Bundesliga |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Austria Lustenau 0-1 Sturm Graz | Bundesliga |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Austria Lustenau 0-2 Sturm Graz | Bundesliga |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Sturm Graz 2-0 Austria Lustenau | Bundesliga |
| Oct 30, 2013 | Austria Lustenau 0-4 Sturm Graz | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Austria Lustenau score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sturm Graz score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Lustenau | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Sturm Graz | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sturm Graz the favourite at 88%, against 8% for a draw and 4% for Austria Lustenau.
- Where and when is Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz played?
- Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz is played on October 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Planet Pure Stadion, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.