Auxerre vs Paris Saint Germain: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre
The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Auxerre. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auxerre vs Paris Saint Germain?
Paris Saint Germain is a heavy favourite: 2,366 Elo points against 1,985, a 382-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Auxerre vs Paris Saint Germain
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Auxerre
3-4-2-1- 9C. Archer
- 10D. Namaso
- 27L. Sy
- 5K. Danois
- 22F. Oppegård
- 8N. Ahamada
- 21R. Faivre
- 92C. Akpa
- 4A. Tuanzebe
- 15C. Makosso
- 23M. Diop
Paris Saint Germain
4-3-3- 11M. Akliouche
- 9Ferran Torres
- 7K. Kvaratskhelia
- 87João Neves
- 4Beraldo
- 27Pedro Fernández
- 33W. Zaïre-Emery
- 6I. Zabarnyi
- 21L. Hernández
- 12L. Digne
- 39M. Safonov
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auxerre have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Paris Saint Germain have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Le Havre(away) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Clermont Foot(home) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nice(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Strasbourg(away) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Auxerre wins, 1 draw, 5 Paris Saint Germain wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | Auxerre 0-1 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Paris Saint Germain 2-0 Auxerre | Ligue 1 |
| May 17, 2025 | Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Auxerre | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Auxerre 0-0 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| May 21, 2023 | Auxerre 1-2 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Paris Saint Germain 5-0 Auxerre | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Auxerre vs Paris Saint Germain on Jan 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Auxerre score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Paris Saint Germain score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Paris Saint Germain | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Auxerre sit 12th in Ligue 1 (9 points from 7 matches) and Paris Saint Germain sit 2nd (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 9 |
A question about Auxerre vs Paris Saint Germain?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auxerre vs Paris Saint Germain?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Auxerre.
- Where and when is Auxerre vs Paris Saint Germain played?
- Auxerre vs Paris Saint Germain is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.