Nice vs Toulouse: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Allianz Riviera, Nice
The Footlab AI model makes Nice the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Toulouse. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nice wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nice vs Toulouse?
On Elo ratings, Nice has 1,965 points and Toulouse 1,979.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nice vs Toulouse
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nice
3-4-2-1- 11E. Wahi
- 92J. Clauss
- 39D. Coulibaly
- 28A. Witsel
- 7G. Hein
- 27N. Nkounkou
- 9M. Amoura
- 55Y. Ndayishimiye
- 35X. Mandza Tsiendi
- 5Mohamed Abdelmonem
- 23Y. Diouf
Toulouse
4-2-3-1- 13J. Russell-Rowe
- 23C. Cásseres
- 8T. Jørgensen
- 37Y. Azizi
- 20C. Tengstedt
- 6A. Vossah
- 12C. Tapé
- 3M. McKenzie
- 22R. Messali
- 5S. Koumbassa
- 16G. Restes
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nice have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Toulouse have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Strasbourg(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lille(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Paris FC(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | PAU(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Havre(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lorient(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Lille(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nice win, 2 draws, 3 Toulouse wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Toulouse 5-1 Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Nice 0-1 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Toulouse 1-1 Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Nice 1-1 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Toulouse 2-1 Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Nice 1-0 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Nice score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Toulouse score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Toulouse | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nice sit 9th in Ligue 1 (8 points from 6 matches) and Toulouse sit 15th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Nice vs Toulouse?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nice vs Toulouse?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nice the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Toulouse.
- Where and when is Nice vs Toulouse played?
- Nice vs Toulouse is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Allianz Riviera, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.