Avellino vs Hellas Verona: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino
The Footlab model makes Avellino the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Hellas Verona. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avellino vs Hellas Verona?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Avellino (1,845) and Hellas Verona (1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avellino have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Hellas Verona have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Monza(away) | 0-3 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torino(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 3-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sambenedettese(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Virtus Entella(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lecco(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Virtus Verona(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Avellino win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hellas Verona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2017 | Hellas Verona 3-1 Avellino | Coppa Italia |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Avellino 2-0 Hellas Verona | Serie B |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Hellas Verona 3-1 Avellino | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Hellas Verona vs Avellino on Aug 13, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Avellino score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Hellas Verona score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avellino | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Hellas Verona | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avellino sit 13th in Serie B (0 points from 1 matches) and Hellas Verona sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Avellino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Hellas Verona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avellino vs Hellas Verona?
- The Footlab model makes Avellino the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Hellas Verona.
- Where and when is Avellino vs Hellas Verona played?
- Avellino vs Hellas Verona is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.