Virtus Entella vs Ascoli: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Chiavari, Chiavari
The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Entella the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Ascoli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Virtus Entella wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Ascoli?
On Elo ratings, Virtus Entella has 1,756 points and Ascoli 1,888.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Virtus Entella vs Ascoli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Virtus Entella
3-5-2- 11Bernat Guiu
- 10L. Cuppone
- 24A. Franzoni
- 5N. Squizzato
- 8L. Vignali
- 80L. Benedetti
- 26Z. Menyhárt
- 23L. Parodi
- 27M. Alborghetti
- 6A. Tiritiello
- 22F. Del Frate
Ascoli
4-2-3-1- 35G. Gori
- 62T. Milanese
- 15S. D'Uffizi
- 8G. Corradini
- 4S. Damiani
- 7A. Silipo
- 30M. Curado
- 19A. Guiébré
- 33N. Rizzo
- 14A. Oliveri
- 1S. Vitale
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Entella have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Ascoli have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Cesena(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Avellino(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Padova(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Virtus Entella wins, 2 draws, 1 Ascoli win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2025 | Ascoli 0-1 Virtus Entella | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 9, 2024 | Virtus Entella 2-1 Ascoli | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Virtus Entella 0-0 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Ascoli 1-1 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| Mar 8, 2020 | Virtus Entella 3-0 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Oct 25, 2019 | Ascoli 2-1 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Ascoli vs Virtus Entella on Jan 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Entella score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ascoli score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Ascoli | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Virtus Entella sit 14th in Serie B (6 points from 6 matches) and Ascoli sit 5th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ascoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Virtus Entella vs Ascoli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Entella vs Ascoli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Entella the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Ascoli.
- Where and when is Virtus Entella vs Ascoli played?
- Virtus Entella vs Ascoli is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Chiavari, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.