Palermo vs Modena: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
The Footlab AI model makes Palermo the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Modena. The most likely score is 1-1. If Palermo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,381 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Palermo vs Modena?
Palermo starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,948 vs 1,830).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Palermo vs Modena
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Palermo
4-2-3-1- 20J. Pohjanpalo
- 8J. Segre
- 10F. Ranocchia
- 9D. Vavassori
- 17D. Johnsen
- 5A. Palumbo
- 3T. Augello
- 13M. Bani
- 32P. Ceccaroni
- 84T. Cassandro
- 14M. Fortin
Modena
3-5-2- 10G. Caso
- 70G. Ambrosino
- 16G. Brugman
- 42A. Bianco
- 72G. Olzer
- 8S. Santoro
- 27Paulo Azzi
- 6S. Nador
- 20B. Nieling
- 77D. Tonoli
- 1L. Chichizola
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palermo have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Modena have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 4-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Padova(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Avellino(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Avellino(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 3-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Palermo wins, 3 draws, 0 Modena wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Modena 0-0 Palermo | Serie B |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Palermo 1-1 Modena | Serie B |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Palermo 2-0 Modena | Serie B |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Modena 2-2 Palermo | Serie B |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Palermo 4-2 Modena | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Modena 0-2 Palermo | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Palermo score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Modena score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo | 2.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Modena | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palermo sit 1st in Serie B (16 points from 6 matches) and Modena sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Modena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 13 |
A question about Palermo vs Modena?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Palermo vs Modena?
- The Footlab AI model makes Palermo the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Modena.
- Where and when is Palermo vs Modena played?
- Palermo vs Modena is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Renzo Barbera, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.