Sampdoria vs Cesena: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova
The Footlab AI model makes Sampdoria the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Cesena. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sampdoria vs Cesena?
On Elo ratings, Sampdoria has 1,701 points and Cesena 1,734.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sampdoria vs Cesena
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sampdoria
4-3-2-1- 9T. Lauritsen
- 6L. Henderson
- 45A. Makoumbou
- 10L. Insigne
- 16Y. Verschaeren
- 28O. Abildgaard
- 29A. Di Pardo
- 7M. Cicconi
- 3S. Gartenmann
- 15F. Delli Carri
- 1P. Vindahl
Cesena
4-3-3- 9C. Shpendi
- 27M. Dalla Vecchia
- 80A. Fiori
- 25D. Bisoli
- 10R. Pagano
- 32E. Bohinen
- 15A. Ciofi
- 6M. Ilić
- 24M. Mangraviti
- 7G. Frabotta
- 1A. Siano
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sampdoria have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Cesena have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Avellino(away) | 1-4 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Catanzaro(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mantova(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Benevento(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Juve Stabia(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Virtus Entella(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sampdoria win, 3 draws, 2 Cesena wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cesena 1-1 Sampdoria | Serie B |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Cesena 0-0 Sampdoria | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Sampdoria 1-2 Cesena | Serie B |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Sampdoria 1-2 Cesena | Serie B |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Cesena 3-5 Sampdoria | Serie B |
| Apr 18, 2015 | Sampdoria 0-0 Cesena | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Sampdoria score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cesena score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Cesena | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sampdoria sit 18th in Serie B (4 points from 6 matches) and Cesena sit 11th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cesena | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Sampdoria vs Cesena?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sampdoria vs Cesena?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sampdoria the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Cesena.
- Where and when is Sampdoria vs Cesena played?
- Sampdoria vs Cesena is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.