Catanzaro vs Cremonese: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
The Footlab model makes Catanzaro the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Cremonese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Catanzaro vs Cremonese?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Catanzaro (1,911) and Cremonese (1,899).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Catanzaro have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Cremonese have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(away) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sudtirol(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Giugliano(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Paradiso(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 29, 2026 | Monza(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lumezzane(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Cittadella(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Catanzaro win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Cremonese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Cremonese 4-0 Catanzaro | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Catanzaro 1-2 Cremonese | Serie B |
| May 25, 2024 | Cremonese 4-1 Catanzaro | Serie B |
| May 21, 2024 | Catanzaro 2-2 Cremonese | Serie B |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Catanzaro 0-0 Cremonese | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Cremonese 0-0 Catanzaro | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Cremonese vs Catanzaro on Mar 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Catanzaro score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cremonese score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Cremonese | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Catanzaro sit 12th in Serie B (0 points from 1 matches) and Cremonese sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Catanzaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Catanzaro vs Cremonese?
- The Footlab model makes Catanzaro the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Cremonese.
- Where and when is Catanzaro vs Cremonese played?
- Catanzaro vs Cremonese is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.