Avro vs Leek Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Vestacare Stadium, Oldham, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Leek Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avro vs Leek Town?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Avro (1,854) and Leek Town (1,772).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avro have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Leek Town have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Workington(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 6-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Emley(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Avro win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Leek Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | Avro 2-1 Leek Town | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Leek Town 3-4 Avro | Non League Div One - Northern West |
How many goals should we expect?
Avro score 3.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leek Town score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avro | 3.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
| Leek Town | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avro sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Northern (12 points from 5 matches) and Leek Town sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Avro | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 15 | Leek Town | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avro vs Leek Town?
- The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Leek Town.
- Where and when is Avro vs Leek Town played?
- Avro vs Leek Town is played on August 26, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Vestacare Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 25, 2026BuryvsLancaster City
- Aug 25, 2026Guiseley AFCvsStockton Town
- Aug 25, 2026Alfreton TownvsHyde United
- Aug 25, 2026WorkingtonvsRylands
- Aug 25, 2026Cleethorpes TownvsWhitby Town
- Aug 25, 2026Ashton UnitedvsIlkeston Town
- Aug 25, 2026Bamber BridgevsUnited of Manchester
- Aug 25, 2026Warrington TownvsCurzon Ashton