Bury vs Lancaster City: result 0-1 and analysis
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
Full time
What was the result of Bury vs Lancaster City?
Lancaster City won 0-1 on August 25, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 10′614522Lancaster City
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Bury win at 57%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Lancaster City have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ashton United(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 2.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lancaster City score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 2.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Lancaster City | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bury sit 12th in Non League Premier - Northern (19 points from 11 matches) and Lancaster City sit 11th (20 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lancaster City | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 28 | 20 |
| 12 | Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 19 |
A question about Bury vs Lancaster City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 25, 2026Guiseley AFC3-0Stockton Town
- Aug 25, 2026Alfreton Town4-0Hyde United
- Aug 25, 2026Workington3-2Rylands
- Aug 25, 2026Cleethorpes Town6-0Whitby Town
- Aug 25, 2026Ashton United1-1Ilkeston Town
- Aug 25, 2026Bamber Bridge1-1United of Manchester
- Aug 25, 2026Warrington Town0-4Curzon Ashton
- Aug 25, 2026Quorn2-2Gainsborough Trinity