AVS vs Tondela: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, Vila das Aves
The Footlab AI model makes AVS the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Tondela. The most likely score is 1-1. If AVS wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AVS vs Tondela?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate AVS (2,040) and Tondela (2,050).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AVS vs Tondela
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AVS
4-3-3- 10Keita
- 9Rodrigo Pinho
- 7Guilherme Neiva
- 70Roni
- 78Andrey
- 49P. Pimentel
- 97Matheus Pivô
- 88F. Almeida
- 3L. Rosić
- 6Carlos Ponck
- 1Dani Rebollo
Tondela
4-3-3- 19Tómané
- 26A. van der Heide
- 17G. Novero
- 20Hugo Félix
- 7Cascavel
- 8Hélder Tavares
- 15Carraça
- 12Zé Ricardo
- 4Christian Marques
- 6Farru
- 28Araujo Carlos
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AVS have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Tondela have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sintrense(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Farense(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chaves(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Imortal Albufeira(away) | 5-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Academica(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 AVS wins, 2 draws, 2 Tondela wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Tondela 0-0 AVS | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | AVS 2-2 Tondela | Primeira Liga |
| May 19, 2024 | AVS 0-1 Tondela | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Tondela 3-2 AVS | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
AVS score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tondela score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVS | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Tondela | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AVS sit 12th in Segunda Liga (6 points from 6 matches) and Tondela sit 10th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tondela | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| 12 | AVS | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
A question about AVS vs Tondela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AVS vs Tondela?
- The Footlab AI model makes AVS the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Tondela.
- Where and when is AVS vs Tondela played?
- AVS vs Tondela is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.