Chaves vs Vizela: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira, Chaves
The Footlab AI model makes Chaves the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Vizela. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chaves wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chaves vs Vizela?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Chaves (1,974) and Vizela (2,032).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chaves vs Vizela
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chaves
4-3-3- 10André Rodrigues
- 30Costinha
- 17Roberto
- 16D. Yearwood
- 19Gilberto García
- 42Aílson Tavares
- 23Léo Alabá
- 29M. Tounkara
- 34Ricardo Alves
- 33Tiago Simões
- 1João Valido
Vizela
4-2-3-1- 36M. Lacava
- 8A. Bastunov
- 6Giovani Bamba
- 16Miguel Pires
- 11N. Thio
- 21Rodrigo Lourinho Ramos
- 4J. Rhyner
- 20B. Godwin
- 13Luís Rocha
- 55A. Hristov
- 1Antonio Gomis
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chaves have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Vizela have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Farense(away) | 0-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guarda(away) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 23, 2026 | AVS(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bombarralense(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 14, 2026 | FC Porto B(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Torreense(away) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chaves wins, 0 draws, 3 Vizela wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Vizela 1-0 Chaves | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Vizela 3-2 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Chaves 1-0 Vizela | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Chaves 1-2 Vizela | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Vizela 0-1 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Vizela 0-1 Chaves | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Chaves score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vizela score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaves | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Vizela | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chaves sit 16th in Segunda Liga (4 points from 6 matches) and Vizela sit 5th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vizela | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 16 | Chaves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Chaves vs Vizela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chaves vs Vizela?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chaves the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Vizela.
- Where and when is Chaves vs Vizela played?
- Chaves vs Vizela is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.