FC Porto B vs União de Leiria: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Jorge Sampaio, Pedroso, Vila Nova de Gaia
The Footlab model makes União de Leiria the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for FC Porto B. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Porto B vs União de Leiria?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate FC Porto B (1,874) and União de Leiria (1,944).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Porto B have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; União de Leiria have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Farense(home) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Academica(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 4-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vizela(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | AD Marco 09(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Porto B win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 União de Leiria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | União de Leiria 2-2 FC Porto B | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | FC Porto B 1-2 União de Leiria | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 9, 2025 | União de Leiria 0-0 FC Porto B | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 1, 2024 | FC Porto B 1-1 União de Leiria | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 3, 2024 | União de Leiria 1-1 FC Porto B | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 27, 2023 | FC Porto B 2-1 União de Leiria | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: União de Leiria vs FC Porto B on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Porto B score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; União de Leiria score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto B | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| União de Leiria | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Porto B sit 18th in Segunda Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and União de Leiria sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | União de Leiria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | FC Porto B | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Porto B vs União de Leiria?
- The Footlab model makes União de Leiria the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for FC Porto B.
- Where and when is FC Porto B vs União de Leiria played?
- FC Porto B vs União de Leiria is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Jorge Sampaio, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.