Match

Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 10, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba

MekelakeyaWelwalo Adigrat Uni

The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 41%, against 35% for a draw and 24% for Welwalo Adigrat Uni. The most likely score is 0-0. If Mekelakeya wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Mekelakeya starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,589 vs 1,482).

41%35%24%
Mekelakeya winDrawWelwalo Adigrat Uni win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mekelakeya

4-3-3
  1. 27A. Yigzaw
  2. 14Mohammed Abera
  3. 35C. Kudjoe
  1. 7Bereket Desta Dana
  2. 10Abdulkarim Worku
  3. 19C. Gugsa
  1. 6G. Hagos
  2. 34N. Hailu
  3. 2F. Jemal
  4. 22C. Menberu
  1. 1Nafian Legason Alionzi

Welwalo Adigrat Uni

4-3-3
  1. 14S. Haftey
  2. 18D. Gebru
  3. 9H. Konkoni
  1. 10F. Solomon
  2. 2N. Gebremedhin
  3. 20M. Mesfin
  1. 16K. Wondimu
  2. 23E. Hailemariam
  3. 27B. Beyene
  4. 24S. Berhe
  1. 30J. Mutakubwa

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 08:17 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mekelakeya have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Welwalo Adigrat Uni have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mekelakeya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Sidama Bunna(away)0-0Premier League
Oct 27, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(away)3-1Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Gamo Chencha(away)1-0Premier League
Oct 18, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)1-0Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Welayta Dicha(away)0-2Premier League
Oct 24, 2026Al Ahli Tripoli(away)1-4CAF Confederation Cup
Oct 16, 2026Al Ahli Tripoli(home)0-4CAF Confederation Cup
Oct 9, 2026Halaba Ketema(away)1-1Premier League
Sep 12, 2026Al Hilal Port Sudan(home)2-1CAF Confederation Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mekelakeya wins, 3 draws, 1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni win.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 23, 2026Mekelakeya 0-0 Welwalo Adigrat UniEthiopia Cup
Mar 8, 2026Mekelakeya 0-0 Welwalo Adigrat UniPremier League
Nov 4, 2025Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0-2 MekelakeyaPremier League
Mar 7, 2025Mekelakeya 0-0 Welwalo Adigrat UniPremier League
Oct 25, 2024Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0-3 MekelakeyaPremier League
Apr 13, 2019Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-0 MekelakeyaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni on Apr 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mekelakeya score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Welwalo Adigrat Uni score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mekelakeya0.90.784/154/15
Welwalo Adigrat Uni0.71.257/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mekelakeya sit 2nd in Premier League (10 points from 5 matches) and Welwalo Adigrat Uni sit 17th (1 point from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Mekelakeya53115210
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011131

A question about Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 41%, against 35% for a draw and 24% for Welwalo Adigrat Uni.
Where and when is Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni played?
Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni is played on March 10, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Addis Ababa Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Mekelakeya and Welwalo Adigrat Uni

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