Match

Ethiopian Medhin vs Bahardar: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueMatchday 23Kick-off on March 10, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Abebe Bikila Stadium, Addis Ababa

Ethiopian MedhinBahardar

The Footlab AI model makes Bahardar the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Ethiopian Medhin. The most likely score is 0-0. If Bahardar wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,527 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ethiopian Medhin vs Bahardar?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Ethiopian Medhin (1,584) and Bahardar (1,563).

29%33%38%
Ethiopian Medhin winDrawBahardar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ethiopian Medhin vs Bahardar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ethiopian Medhin

Not enough data to predict the Ethiopian Medhin lineup.

Bahardar

Not enough data to predict the Bahardar lineup.

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 09:22 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethiopian Medhin have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Bahardar have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ethiopian Medhin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 2, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away)3-1Premier League
Oct 27, 2026Mekelakeya(home)1-3Premier League
Oct 17, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)1-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Gamo Chencha(away)2-0Premier League
Jul 3, 2026Fasil Ketema(away)0-1Premier League
Bahardar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Fasil Ketema(away)2-2Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Welayta Dicha(away)3-1Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Halaba Ketema(away)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 3, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away)2-2Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ethiopian Medhin wins, 2 draws, 2 Bahardar wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 15, 2026Ethiopian Medhin 1-1 BahardarPremier League
Nov 30, 2025Bahardar 1-0 Ethiopian MedhinPremier League
May 9, 2025Ethiopian Medhin 1-2 BahardarPremier League
Jan 20, 2025Bahardar 0-1 Ethiopian MedhinPremier League
Feb 29, 2024Bahardar 0-0 Ethiopian MedhinPremier League
Oct 8, 2023Ethiopian Medhin 3-2 BahardarPremier League

Last archived meeting: Ethiopian Medhin vs Bahardar on Apr 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ethiopian Medhin score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bahardar score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ethiopian Medhin1.11.148/156/15
Bahardar0.90.965/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ethiopian Medhin sit 6th in Premier League (7 points from 4 matches) and Bahardar sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Ethiopian Medhin4211757
7Bahardar4211647

A question about Ethiopian Medhin vs Bahardar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ethiopian Medhin vs Bahardar?
The Footlab AI model makes Bahardar the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Ethiopian Medhin.
Where and when is Ethiopian Medhin vs Bahardar played?
Ethiopian Medhin vs Bahardar is played on March 10, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Abebe Bikila Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ethiopian Medhin and Bahardar