Ayr Utd vs Kilmarnock: result 0-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 26, 2021 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Somerset Park, Ayr
Full time
What was the result of Ayr Utd vs Kilmarnock?
Kilmarnock won 0-1 on October 26, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 89′O. ShawKilmarnock (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayr Utd have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Kilmarnock have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2021 | Arbroath(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Queen of the South(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Partick(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Morton(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2021 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Dunfermline(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 8, 2021 | Queen's Park(home) | 3-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Raith Rovers(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2021 | Arbroath(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ayr Utd win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kilmarnock win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2021 | Kilmarnock 2-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Jul 14, 2017 | Ayr Utd 1-0 Kilmarnock | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ayr Utd score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kilmarnock score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | 1.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Kilmarnock | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ayr Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy