Ayr Utd vs Kilmarnock: result 1-3 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 11, 2022 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Somerset Park, Ayr
Full time
What was the result of Ayr Utd vs Kilmarnock?
Kilmarnock won 1-3 on March 11, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 3′R. McKenzieKilmarnock
- 12′O. ShawKilmarnock
- 16′J. SandersKilmarnock
- 38′K. McInroyAyr Utd
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayr Utd have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Kilmarnock have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | Raith Rovers(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Queen of the South(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Inverness CT(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Feb 9, 2022 | Kilmarnock(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Dunfermline(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Mar 2, 2022 | Raith Rovers(home) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Dunfermline(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Raith Rovers(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Dunfermline(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Ayr Utd win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Kilmarnock win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2022 | Kilmarnock 1-2 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Oct 26, 2021 | Ayr Utd 0-1 Kilmarnock | Championship |
| Aug 2, 2021 | Kilmarnock 2-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Jul 14, 2017 | Ayr Utd 1-0 Kilmarnock | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ayr Utd score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kilmarnock score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Kilmarnock | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ayr Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy