Denizli İYG vs Eskişehirspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 31Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Başkarcı Şehit Sami Er Stadı, Denizli
The Footlab model makes Eskişehirspor the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Denizli İYG. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Denizli İYG vs Eskişehirspor?
Eskişehirspor starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,695 vs 1,577).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Denizli İYG have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Eskişehirspor have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Anadolu Üniversitesi(home) | 3-3 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Alanya 1221 FK(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Kütahyaspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Karsiyaka(home) | 0-5 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(home) | 3-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(away) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Alanya 1221 FK(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Denizli İYG win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Eskişehirspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Denizli İYG 0-2 Eskişehirspor | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Eskişehirspor 1-1 Denizli İYG | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Denizli İYG vs Eskişehirspor on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Denizli İYG score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Eskişehirspor score 2.3 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denizli İYG | 1.1 | 1.0 | 8 | 2/15 | 5/15 |
| Eskişehirspor | 2.3 | 0.3 | 12 | 2/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Denizli İYG vs Eskişehirspor?
- The Footlab model makes Eskişehirspor the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Denizli İYG.
- Where and when is Denizli İYG vs Eskişehirspor played?
- Denizli İYG vs Eskişehirspor is played on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Başkarcı Şehit Sami Er Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.