Where and when is Etimesgut SK vs Ayvalikgucu played?

Etimesgut SK vs Ayvalikgucu is played on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Etimesgut Belediyesi Atatürk Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Etimesgut SK vs Ayvalikgucu: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 32Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Etimesgut Belediyesi Atatürk Stadı, Etimesgut

Etimesgut SK

Ayvalikgucu

The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Etimesgut SK. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Etimesgut SK vs Ayvalikgucu?

Ayvalikgucu starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,720 vs 1,611).

Etimesgut SK win34 %

Draw28 %

Ayvalikgucu win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etimesgut SK have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Ayvalikgucu have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Etimesgut SK
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 27, 2026	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(home)	1-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026	Kartal Bulvarspor(home)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(away)	1-3	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Yalova Yeşilovaspor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Group 1

Ayvalikgucu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(home)	1-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026	Eskişehirspor(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026	Eskişehirspor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 28, 2026	Karsiyaka(away)	2-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Karsiyaka(home)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Etimesgut SK win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ayvalikgucu win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 31, 2016	Etimesgut SK 1-0 Ayvalikgucu	3. Lig - Group 2
Sep 13, 2015	Ayvalikgucu 1-2 Etimesgut SK	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2015	Etimesgut SK 3-0 Ayvalikgucu	3. Lig - Group 3
Nov 9, 2014	Ayvalikgucu 0-0 Etimesgut SK	3. Lig - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Etimesgut SK vs Ayvalikgucu on Jan 31, 2016

How many goals should we expect?

Etimesgut SK score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ayvalikgucu score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Etimesgut SK	1.0	1.0	7	7/15	5/15
Ayvalikgucu	1.4	0.8	6	5/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Etimesgut SK vs Ayvalikgucu?: The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Etimesgut SK.
Where and when is Etimesgut SK vs Ayvalikgucu played?: Etimesgut SK vs Ayvalikgucu is played on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Etimesgut Belediyesi Atatürk Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.