Ayvalikgucu vs Denizli İYG: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 23Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hüsnü Uğural Stadyumu, Ayvalık
The Footlab AI model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Denizli İYG. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,659 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ayvalikgucu vs Denizli İYG?
Ayvalikgucu starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,697 vs 1,517).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ayvalikgucu vs Denizli İYG
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ayvalikgucu
Not enough data to predict the Ayvalikgucu lineup.
Denizli İYG
Not enough data to predict the Denizli İYG lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 10:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayvalikgucu have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Denizli İYG have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Uşak Spor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Alanya 1221 FK(away) | 2-4 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Bucaspor 1928(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Sarıyer(away) | 0-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Nilüfer Belediye(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Bucaspor 1928(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Nilüfer Belediye(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Karsiyaka(home) | 0-6 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bigaspor(home) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Söke 1970(away) | 3-3 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Ayvalikgucu wins, 0 draws, 1 Denizli İYG win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Denizli İYG 0-1 Ayvalikgucu | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu 2-1 Denizli İYG | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Denizli İYG 2-1 Ayvalikgucu | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Denizli İYG vs Ayvalikgucu on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ayvalikgucu score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Denizli İYG score 0.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayvalikgucu | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Denizli İYG | 0.6 | 1.7 | 5 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ayvalikgucu sit 7th in 3. Lig - Group 2 (21 points from 11 matches) and Denizli İYG sit 15th (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ayvalikgucu | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 21 |
| 15 | Denizli İYG | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 8 |
A question about Ayvalikgucu vs Denizli İYG?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ayvalikgucu vs Denizli İYG?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Denizli İYG.
- Where and when is Ayvalikgucu vs Denizli İYG played?
- Ayvalikgucu vs Denizli İYG is played on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hüsnü Uğural Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 14, 2027AltayvsUşak Spor
- Feb 14, 2027Etimesgut SKvsEskişehirspor
- Feb 14, 2027AkşehirsporvsBalıkesirspor
- Feb 14, 2027BigasporvsSöke 1970
- Feb 14, 2027Bursa YıldırımsporvsAlanya 1221 FK
- Feb 14, 2027KepezsporvsNilüfer Belediye
- Feb 14, 2027Anadolu ÜniversitesivsKarsiyaka
- Feb 14, 2027Tire 2021 FKvsBucaspor 1928