Where and when is Ayvalikgucu vs Denizli İYG played?

Ayvalikgucu vs Denizli İYG is played on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hüsnü Uğural Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ayvalikgucu vs Denizli İYG: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 23Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hüsnü Uğural Stadyumu, Ayvalık

Ayvalikgucu

Denizli İYG

The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Denizli İYG. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ayvalikgucu vs Denizli İYG?

Ayvalikgucu starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,709 vs 1,567).

Ayvalikgucu win56 %

Draw26 %

Denizli İYG win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayvalikgucu have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Denizli İYG have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ayvalikgucu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(home)	1-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026	Eskişehirspor(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026	Eskişehirspor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 28, 2026	Karsiyaka(away)	2-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Karsiyaka(home)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs

Denizli İYG
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Anadolu Üniversitesi(home)	3-3	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Alanya 1221 FK(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	Balıkesirspor(home)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 29, 2026	Kütahyaspor(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 25, 2026	Karsiyaka(home)	0-5	3. Lig - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ayvalikgucu win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Denizli İYG win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 8, 2026	Ayvalikgucu 2-1 Denizli İYG	3. Lig - Group 4
Oct 5, 2025	Denizli İYG 2-1 Ayvalikgucu	3. Lig - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Ayvalikgucu vs Denizli İYG on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ayvalikgucu score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Denizli İYG score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ayvalikgucu	1.4	0.8	6	5/15	5/15
Denizli İYG	1.1	1.0	8	2/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ayvalikgucu vs Denizli İYG?: The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Denizli İYG.
Where and when is Ayvalikgucu vs Denizli İYG played?: Ayvalikgucu vs Denizli İYG is played on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hüsnü Uğural Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.