Match

Kepezspor vs Nilüfer Belediye: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 23Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hasan Doğan Stadyumu, Antalya

KepezsporNilüfer Belediye

The Footlab model makes Kepezspor the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Nilüfer Belediye. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kepezspor vs Nilüfer Belediye?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Kepezspor (1,535) and Nilüfer Belediye (1,546).

Kepezspor win41 %
Draw28 %
Nilüfer Belediye win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kepezspor have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Nilüfer Belediye have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kepezspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Batman Petrolspor(away)0-62. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Altınordu(home)2-42. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away)0-12. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Ankaragücü(home)2-32. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Elazığspor(away)1-32. Lig
Nilüfer Belediye
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Kestel Çilek(home)3-13. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026Silivrispor(away)2-13. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026Kartal Bulvarspor(home)2-13. Lig - Group 1
Mar 28, 2026Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(away)0-33. Lig - Group 1
Mar 24, 2026Yalova Yeşilovaspor(home)3-23. Lig - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Kepezspor score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nilüfer Belediye score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kepezspor1.02.1310/159/15
Nilüfer Belediye1.51.4310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kepezspor vs Nilüfer Belediye?
The Footlab model makes Kepezspor the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Nilüfer Belediye.
Where and when is Kepezspor vs Nilüfer Belediye played?
Kepezspor vs Nilüfer Belediye is played on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hasan Doğan Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Kepezspor and Nilüfer Belediye

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