AZ Alkmaar vs Dinamo Zagreb: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueMatchday 7Kick-off on January 21, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
The Footlab AI model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Dinamo Zagreb. The most likely score is 1-1. If AZ Alkmaar wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Dinamo Zagreb?
On Elo ratings, AZ Alkmaar has 2,172 points and Dinamo Zagreb 2,104.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AZ Alkmaar vs Dinamo Zagreb
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AZ Alkmaar
4-3-3- 11R. Daal
- 9Mexx Meerdink
- 24A. Oufkir
- 6P. Koopmeiners
- 21D. Kwakman
- 17V. Byskov
- 3W. Goes
- 4L. Schouten
- 34M. de Wit
- 29W. Hoedt
- 28J. De Busser
Dinamo Zagreb
4-1-4-1- 9D. Beljo
- 27J. Mišić
- 10L. Stojković
- 11A. Hoxha
- 99M. Oršić
- 7Dani Rodríguez
- 15N. Galešić
- 36Sergi Domínguez
- 25M. Valinčić
- 22Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf
- 24D. Kotarski
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 02:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AZ Alkmaar have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Dinamo Zagreb have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 4-3 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Twente(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | NK Varazdin(away) | 3-1 | HNL |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rudes(away) | 0-1 | HNL |
| Oct 27, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(home) | 2-1 | HNL |
| Oct 22, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
AZ Alkmaar score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Zagreb score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AZ Alkmaar sit 14th in UEFA Europa League (6 points from 4 matches) and Dinamo Zagreb sit 9th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
A question about AZ Alkmaar vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AZ Alkmaar vs Dinamo Zagreb?
- The Footlab AI model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Dinamo Zagreb.
- Where and when is AZ Alkmaar vs Dinamo Zagreb played?
- AZ Alkmaar vs Dinamo Zagreb is played on January 21, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Stadion, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.