Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Slaven Belupo: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Zagreb the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for NK Slaven Belupo. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Dinamo Zagreb is a heavy favourite: 2,191 Elo points against 1,828, a 363-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Zagreb have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; NK Slaven Belupo have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 3-1 | HNL |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Viking(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rudes(home) | 4-0 | HNL |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 5-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Istra 1961(away) | 0-3 | HNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 1-4 | HNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 0-2 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sesvete(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Dinamo Zagreb win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 NK Slaven Belupo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| May 17, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo 1-4 Dinamo Zagreb | HNL |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb 4-2 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| Dec 14, 2025 | NK Slaven Belupo 2-5 Dinamo Zagreb | HNL |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Dinamo Zagreb 4-1 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| May 10, 2025 | Dinamo Zagreb 5-0 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Slaven Belupo on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Zagreb score 2.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; NK Slaven Belupo score 1.4 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb | 2.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| NK Slaven Belupo | 1.4 | 2.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Zagreb sit 1st in HNL (9 points from 3 matches) and NK Slaven Belupo sit 8th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Slaven Belupo?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Zagreb the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for NK Slaven Belupo.
- Where and when is Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Slaven Belupo played?
- Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Slaven Belupo is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Maksimir, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.