Match

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Tenerife II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Las Lagunas, Las Lagunas de Mijas

Mijas Las LagunasTenerife II

The Footlab model makes Mijas Las Lagunas the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Tenerife II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mijas Las Lagunas vs Tenerife II?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Mijas Las Lagunas (1,872) and Tenerife II (1,850).

Mijas Las Lagunas win48 %
Draw29 %
Tenerife II win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mijas Las Lagunas have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Tenerife II have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mijas Las Lagunas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Xerez Deportivo(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Granada II(away)4-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026Huétor Vega(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026Huétor Tájar(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026UD Melilla II(home)4-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Tenerife II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 18, 2026Tenerife(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026SS Reyes(home)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Conquense(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026CD Coria(home)4-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026Elche II(home)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

Mijas Las Lagunas score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tenerife II score 1.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mijas Las Lagunas1.30.875/155/15
Tenerife II1.82.039/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Tenerife II?
The Footlab model makes Mijas Las Lagunas the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Tenerife II.
Where and when is Mijas Las Lagunas vs Tenerife II played?
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Tenerife II is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Las Lagunas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Mijas Las Lagunas and Tenerife II

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