Badajoz vs Tenerife: prediction and stats
Copa del ReyRound of 128Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz
The Footlab AI model makes Tenerife the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Badajoz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tenerife wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,392 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Badajoz vs Tenerife?
On Elo ratings, Badajoz has 2,012 points and Tenerife 2,022.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Badajoz vs Tenerife
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Badajoz
Not enough data to predict the Badajoz lineup.
Tenerife
4-4-2- 18Enric Gallego
- 17C. Gomis
- 10Nacho Gil
- 29Daniel Fernández
- 20M. Pittón
- 15Fabricio
- 2David Rodríguez
- 12A. Landázuri
- 19César Álvarez
- 4José León
- 1Dani Martín
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 01:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badajoz have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Tenerife have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Puente Genil(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sanluqueño(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Marbella(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Las Palmas II(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Castellón(away) | 0-5 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Badajoz score 1.2 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tenerife score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Badajoz | 1.2 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Tenerife | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Badajoz vs Tenerife?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Badajoz vs Tenerife?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tenerife the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Badajoz.
- Where and when is Badajoz vs Tenerife played?
- Badajoz vs Tenerife is played on October 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, in the Copa del Rey.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.