Badajoz vs Sanluqueño: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz
The Footlab AI model makes Badajoz the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Sanluqueño. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Badajoz vs Sanluqueño?
Badajoz starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,923 vs 1,702).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Badajoz vs Sanluqueño
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Badajoz
Not enough data to predict the Badajoz lineup.
Sanluqueño
4-3-3- 15Marcos Denia
- 5S. Niza
- 9Ismael Álvarez
- 26J. Andujar
- 21D. Satoca
- 6T. Mulenga
- 14Pavón
- 12N. Ukwuije
- 2Raúl Sola
- 3Julio Cabrera
- 13R. Dominguez
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badajoz have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Sanluqueño have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Las Palmas II(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Tenerife II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Don Benito(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tamaraceite(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Marbella(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Badajoz wins, 1 draw, 0 Sanluqueño wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2019 | Badajoz 0-0 Sanluqueño | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Badajoz score 1.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sanluqueño score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Badajoz | 1.9 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Sanluqueño | 0.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Badajoz sit 7th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (8 points from 5 matches) and Sanluqueño sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Badajoz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 11 | Sanluqueño | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Badajoz vs Sanluqueño?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Badajoz vs Sanluqueño?
- The Footlab AI model makes Badajoz the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Sanluqueño.
- Where and when is Badajoz vs Sanluqueño played?
- Badajoz vs Sanluqueño is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2026Don BenitovsAtlético Central
- Oct 18, 2026MarbellavsEstepona
- Oct 18, 2026AntonianovsSevilla Atletico
- Oct 18, 2026Linares DeportivovsRecreativo Huelva
- Oct 18, 2026TamaraceitevsReal Betis II
- Oct 18, 2026Las Palmas IIvsAtlético Paso
- Oct 18, 2026XerezvsCiudad de Lucena
- Oct 18, 2026Tenerife IIvsMijas Las Lagunas