Match

Tamaraceite vs Badajoz: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Juan Guedes, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria

TamaraceiteBadajoz

The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Tamaraceite. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tamaraceite vs Badajoz?

Badajoz starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,993 vs 1,862).

Tamaraceite win34 %
Draw30 %
Badajoz win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tamaraceite have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Badajoz have 12, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tamaraceite
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 4, 2026Tenerife(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Jun 21, 2026Guijuelo(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Guijuelo(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026San Fernando CD(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 30, 2026San Fernando CD(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Badajoz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026Cuarte(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Cuarte(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026Moralo(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 31, 2026Moralo(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 24, 2026Jaraíz(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

How many goals should we expect?

Tamaraceite score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Badajoz score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tamaraceite1.91.2410/158/15
Badajoz2.50.786/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tamaraceite vs Badajoz?
The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Tamaraceite.
Where and when is Tamaraceite vs Badajoz played?
Tamaraceite vs Badajoz is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Juan Guedes, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tamaraceite and Badajoz

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