Match

Marbella vs Estepona: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, Marbella

MarbellaEstepona

The Footlab AI model makes Marbella the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Estepona. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marbella wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marbella vs Estepona?

On Elo ratings, Marbella has 1,721 points and Estepona 1,864.

36%29%35%
Marbella winDrawEstepona win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Marbella vs Estepona

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Marbella

4-3-3
  1. 20J. Cambra
  2. 17Alexiel
  3. 19E. Ohemeng
  1. 8Eugeni Valderrama
  2. 16A. Ruiz
  3. 10A. Gil
  1. 22J. Rodriguez
  2. 23Alberto Escassi
  3. 2J. Alvarez
  4. 3Álex Martínez
  1. 1Manu García

Estepona

4-3-3
  1. 20Daniel Sancho
  2. 10Ale Conteras
  3. 16D. Ballarin
  1. 15Javi Duarte
  2. 6J. Aguilera
  3. 17S. Baradji
  1. 26A. Gonzalez
  2. 3A. Candelas
  3. 5Titi Fernández
  4. 22José Caro
  1. 1J. Ruiz

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:12 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbella have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Estepona have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marbella
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Badajoz(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 4, 2026Real Betis II(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 27, 2026Puente Genil(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 20, 2026Atlético Central(home)4-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 13, 2026Sevilla Atletico(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Estepona
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Atlético Central(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 3, 2026Don Benito(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 27, 2026Tenerife II(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 19, 2026Puente Genil(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 12, 2026Linares Deportivo(home)1-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Marbella win, 1 draw, 0 Estepona wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 4, 2024Marbella 0-0 EsteponaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 24, 2023Estepona 0-1 MarbellaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Marbella vs Estepona on Feb 4, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Marbella score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Estepona score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marbella1.21.926/157/15
Estepona1.81.3312/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marbella sit 15th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (5 points from 6 matches) and Estepona sit 12th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Estepona5212777
15Marbella6123695

A question about Marbella vs Estepona?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marbella vs Estepona?
The Footlab AI model makes Marbella the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Estepona.
Where and when is Marbella vs Estepona played?
Marbella vs Estepona is played on October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Marbella and Estepona

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