Bahardar vs Welayta Dicha: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bahir Dar Stadium, Bahir Dar
The Footlab AI model makes Welayta Dicha the favourite at 38%, against 38% for a draw and 24% for Bahardar. The most likely score is 0-0. If Welayta Dicha wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,985 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bahardar vs Welayta Dicha?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Bahardar (1,549) and Welayta Dicha (1,566).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bahardar vs Welayta Dicha
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bahardar
Not enough data to predict the Bahardar lineup.
Welayta Dicha
4-3-3- 10C. Damtew
- 19Y. Darza
- 11A. Aliso
- 8A. Kidane
- 16T. Taffese
- 14M. Nicole
- 44N. Nasaro
- 27Yonatan Elias
- 5K. Kebede
- 26Wubshet Kifle
- 1B. Genetu
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 01:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahardar have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Welayta Dicha have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Halaba Ketema(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Sidama Bunna(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Awassa Kenema(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fasil Ketema(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Ethiopia Bunna(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Adama Kenema(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Mebrat Hayl(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bahardar wins, 3 draws, 1 Welayta Dicha win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2026 | Bahardar 0-2 Welayta Dicha | Premier League |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Welayta Dicha 0-0 Bahardar | Premier League |
| Jun 12, 2025 | Welayta Dicha 0-4 Bahardar | Premier League |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Bahardar 0-0 Welayta Dicha | Premier League |
| May 24, 2024 | Bahardar 0-0 Welayta Dicha | Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Welayta Dicha 0-1 Bahardar | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Bahardar vs Welayta Dicha on Jun 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bahardar score 0.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Welayta Dicha score 0.8 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 19% probability of over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahardar | 0.8 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Welayta Dicha | 0.8 | 0.4 | 11 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahardar sit 9th in Premier League (3 points from 2 matches) and Welayta Dicha sit 11th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bahardar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Welayta Dicha | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
A question about Bahardar vs Welayta Dicha?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bahardar vs Welayta Dicha?
- The Footlab AI model makes Welayta Dicha the favourite at 38%, against 38% for a draw and 24% for Bahardar.
- Where and when is Bahardar vs Welayta Dicha played?
- Bahardar vs Welayta Dicha is played on February 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bahir Dar Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 19% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 24, 2027Adama KenemavsKedus Giorgis
- Feb 24, 2027Fasil KetemavsHalaba Ketema
- Feb 24, 2027MekelakeyavsGamo Chencha
- Feb 24, 2027Welwalo Adigrat UnivsHadiya Hosaena
- Feb 24, 2027Ethiopia Nigd BankvsAwassa Kenema
- Feb 24, 2027Ethiopian MedhinvsSidama Bunna
- Feb 24, 2027Sheger KetemavsMebrat Hayl
- Feb 24, 2027Negelle ArsivsEthiopia Bunna