Match

Mekelakeya vs Gamo Chencha: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba

MekelakeyaGamo Chencha

The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 40%, against 35% for a draw and 25% for Gamo Chencha. The most likely score is 0-0. If Mekelakeya wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,985 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mekelakeya vs Gamo Chencha?

Mekelakeya starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,565 vs 1,461).

40%35%25%
Mekelakeya winDrawGamo Chencha win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mekelakeya vs Gamo Chencha

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mekelakeya

4-3-3
  1. 27A. Yigzaw
  2. 14Mohammed Abera
  3. 35C. Kudjoe
  1. 7Bereket Desta Dana
  2. 10Abdulkarim Worku
  3. 19C. Gugsa
  1. 6G. Hagos
  2. 34N. Hailu
  3. 2F. Jemal
  4. 22C. Menberu
  1. 1Nafian Legason Alionzi

Gamo Chencha

Not enough data to predict the Gamo Chencha lineup.

Computed on October 22, 2026 at 11:48 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mekelakeya have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Gamo Chencha have 0, 0 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mekelakeya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 4, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(home)0-0Premier League
Jun 28, 2026Sheger Ketema(away)0-2Premier League
Jun 21, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(home)1-0Premier League
Gamo Chencha
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(home)0-2Premier League

How many goals should we expect?

Mekelakeya score 0.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gamo Chencha score 0.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mekelakeya0.80.784/154/15
Gamo Chencha0.02.000/10/1

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mekelakeya sit 8th in Premier League (3 points from 2 matches) and Gamo Chencha sit 18th (0 points from 1 match).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Mekelakeya2101113
18Gamo Chencha1001020

A question about Mekelakeya vs Gamo Chencha?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mekelakeya vs Gamo Chencha?
The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 40%, against 35% for a draw and 25% for Gamo Chencha.
Where and when is Mekelakeya vs Gamo Chencha played?
Mekelakeya vs Gamo Chencha is played on February 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Addis Ababa Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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