Bahia vs Fortaleza EC: result 2-1 and analysis
Copa do NordesteQuarter-finalsKick-off on July 10, 2025 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Bahia vs Fortaleza EC?
Bahia won 2-1 on July 10, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 40′?Bahia (pen.)
- 45′Caio AlexandreBahia
- 69′?Fortaleza EC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Fortaleza EC have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2025 | RB Bragantino(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Nautico Recife(home) | 3-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jun 4, 2025 | Confiança(away) | 0-2 | Copa do Nordeste |
| May 31, 2025 | Sao Paulo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 28, 2025 | Internacional(away) | 1-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2025 | Santos(home) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Flamengo(away) | 0-5 | Serie A |
| May 30, 2025 | Racing Club(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 25, 2025 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| May 21, 2025 | Retrô(home) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bahia win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Fortaleza EC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2024 | Fortaleza EC 4-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Jun 14, 2024 | Bahia 1-0 Fortaleza EC | Serie A |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Bahia 2-0 Fortaleza EC | Serie A |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Fortaleza EC 0-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Bahia 0-3 Fortaleza EC | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Fortaleza EC 3-1 Bahia | Copa do Nordeste |
Last archived meeting: Fortaleza EC vs Bahia on Sep 22, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza EC score 1.1 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Fortaleza EC | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Fortaleza EC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy