Fortaleza EC vs Atletico Goianiense: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
The Footlab model makes Fortaleza EC the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Atletico Goianiense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Atletico Goianiense?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Fortaleza EC (1,942) and Atletico Goianiense (1,860).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortaleza EC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Atletico Goianiense have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Criciuma(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | São Bernardo(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Juventude(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cuiaba(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Palmeiras(home) | 3-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Londrina(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vila Nova(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nautico Recife(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Operario-PR(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Cuiaba(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fortaleza EC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Atletico Goianiense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense 1-0 Fortaleza EC | Serie B |
| Dec 5, 2024 | Atletico Goianiense 3-1 Fortaleza EC | Serie A |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Fortaleza EC 3-1 Atletico Goianiense | Serie A |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Fortaleza EC 1-1 Atletico Goianiense | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2022 | Atletico Goianiense 0-1 Fortaleza EC | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Fortaleza EC 0-3 Atletico Goianiense | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Goianiense vs Fortaleza EC on Jul 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortaleza EC score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Goianiense score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza EC | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Atletico Goianiense | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortaleza EC sit 5th in Serie B (40 points from 24 matches) and Atletico Goianiense sit 11th (33 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 40 |
| 11 | Atletico Goianiense | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortaleza EC vs Atletico Goianiense?
- The Footlab model makes Fortaleza EC the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Atletico Goianiense.
- Where and when is Fortaleza EC vs Atletico Goianiense played?
- Fortaleza EC vs Atletico Goianiense is played on October 31, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.