Bahia vs Sao Paulo: result 4-3 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 33Kick-off on November 5, 2011 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Bahia vs Sao Paulo?
Bahia won 4-3 on November 5, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 21′WellingtonSao Paulo
- 46′Rodrigo de Souza CardosoBahia
- 48′Lucas MouraSao Paulo
- 60′CíceroSao Paulo
- 68′LulinhaBahia
- 73′Leandro Fahel MatosBahia
- 83′Luiz EduardoBahia (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sao Paulo have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2011 | Figueirense(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 23, 2011 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2011 | Coritiba(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 13, 2011 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 8, 2011 | Botafogo(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2011 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 23, 2011 | Coritiba(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2011 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 12, 2011 | Internacional(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 6, 2011 | Cruzeiro(away) | 3-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Bahia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sao Paulo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2011 | Sao Paulo 3-0 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Paulo score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Sao Paulo | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (37 points from 24 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 13th (27 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy