Where and when is Cartagena LU II vs Bala Azul played?

Cartagena LU II vs Bala Azul is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Escuela de Fútbol Ciudad Jardín, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cartagena LU II vs Bala Azul: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Escuela de Fútbol Ciudad Jardín, Cartagena

Cartagena LU II

Bala Azul

The Footlab model makes Cartagena LU II the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Bala Azul. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cartagena LU II vs Bala Azul?

A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Cartagena LU II (1,687) and Bala Azul (1,733).

Cartagena LU II win37 %

Draw28 %

Bala Azul win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cartagena LU II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Bala Azul have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cartagena LU II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Deportiva Minera(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Santa Cruz(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026	Santomera(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026	UD Caravaca(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 18, 2026	Cieza(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Bala Azul
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	UD Caravaca(home)	2-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026	Cieza(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Muleño(home)	3-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	Olímpico Totana(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Cartagena LU II(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Cartagena LU II win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Bala Azul win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	Cartagena LU II 2-3 Bala Azul	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Dec 6, 2025	Bala Azul 2-1 Cartagena LU II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 6, 2025	Bala Azul 2-0 Cartagena LU II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 24, 2024	Cartagena LU II 0-0 Bala Azul	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Feb 27, 2022	Cartagena LU II 1-1 Bala Azul	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 17, 2021	Bala Azul 1-1 Cartagena LU II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Cartagena LU II vs Bala Azul on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cartagena LU II score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cartagena LU II	0.9	1.2	4	6/15	5/15
Bala Azul	1.5	1.3	6	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cartagena LU II sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (38 points from 34 matches) and Bala Azul sit 11th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Bala Azul	34	7	17	10	36	36	38
12	Cartagena LU II	34	9	11	14	40	39	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cartagena LU II vs Bala Azul?: The Footlab model makes Cartagena LU II the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Bala Azul.
Where and when is Cartagena LU II vs Bala Azul played?: Cartagena LU II vs Bala Azul is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Escuela de Fútbol Ciudad Jardín, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.