Balsicas Atlético vs Santa Cruz: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Balsicas, Torre-Pacheco
The Footlab model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Balsicas Atlético. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Balsicas Atlético vs Santa Cruz?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Balsicas Atlético (1,699) and Santa Cruz (1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balsicas Atlético have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Santa Cruz have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Yeclano II(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Yeclano II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Balsicas Atlético win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Santa Cruz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Santa Cruz 0-0 Balsicas Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Balsicas Atlético 1-2 Santa Cruz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Santa Cruz vs Balsicas Atlético on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Balsicas Atlético score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balsicas Atlético | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Santa Cruz | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Balsicas Atlético sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (36 points from 34 matches) and Santa Cruz sit 8th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 34 | 51 |
| 13 | Balsicas Atlético | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 46 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Balsicas Atlético vs Santa Cruz?
- The Footlab model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Balsicas Atlético.
- Where and when is Balsicas Atlético vs Santa Cruz played?
- Balsicas Atlético vs Santa Cruz is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Balsicas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026Atlético PulpileñovsLos Garres
- Dec 20, 2026Mazarrón FCvsÁguilas II
- Dec 20, 2026Olímpico TotanavsAlcantarilla
- Dec 20, 2026Cartagena LU IIvsBala Azul
- Dec 20, 2026AlgarvsUCAM Murcia II
- Dec 20, 2026SantomeravsUnión Molinense
- Dec 20, 2026Bullas DeportivovsSFC Minerva
- Dec 20, 2026San JaviervsEl Palmar