Alcantarilla vs San Javier: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal Ángel Sornichero, Alcantarilla
The Footlab model makes San Javier the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Alcantarilla. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcantarilla vs San Javier?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcantarilla have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; San Javier have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 4, 2025 | Águilas II(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Lorca Deportiva(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Santomera(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcantarilla vs San Javier?
- The Footlab model makes San Javier the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Alcantarilla.
- Where and when is Alcantarilla vs San Javier played?
- Alcantarilla vs San Javier is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal Ángel Sornichero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026El PalmarvsCartagena LU II
- Dec 13, 2026Atlético PulpileñovsMazarrón FC
- Dec 13, 2026SFC MinervavsAlgar
- Dec 13, 2026UCAM Murcia IIvsLos Garres
- Dec 13, 2026Bala AzulvsBalsicas Atlético
- Dec 13, 2026Unión MolinensevsBullas Deportivo
- Dec 13, 2026Águilas IIvsOlímpico Totana
- Dec 13, 2026Santa CruzvsSantomera