Bala Azul vs Cartagena LU II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Playa Sol, Puerto de Mazarrón
The Footlab model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Cartagena LU II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bala Azul vs Cartagena LU II?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Bala Azul (1,737) and Cartagena LU II (1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Azul have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Cartagena LU II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | UD Caravaca(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Muleño(home) | 3-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Santomera(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | UD Caravaca(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bala Azul win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Cartagena LU II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cartagena LU II 2-3 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Bala Azul 2-1 Cartagena LU II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Bala Azul 2-0 Cartagena LU II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Cartagena LU II 0-0 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Feb 27, 2022 | Cartagena LU II 1-1 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Bala Azul 1-1 Cartagena LU II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Cartagena LU II vs Bala Azul on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cartagena LU II score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bala Azul | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Cartagena LU II | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bala Azul sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (38 points from 34 matches) and Cartagena LU II sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bala Azul | 34 | 7 | 17 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 38 |
| 12 | Cartagena LU II | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 39 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bala Azul vs Cartagena LU II?
- The Footlab model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Cartagena LU II.
- Where and when is Bala Azul vs Cartagena LU II played?
- Bala Azul vs Cartagena LU II is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.