Unión Molinense vs Santomera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, Molina de Segura
The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Santomera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Unión Molinense wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unión Molinense vs Santomera?
On Elo ratings, Unión Molinense has 1,850 points and Santomera 1,761.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Unión Molinense vs Santomera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Unión Molinense
Not enough data to predict the Unión Molinense lineup.
Santomera
Not enough data to predict the Santomera lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Molinense have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Santomera have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Algar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Garres(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Unión Molinense wins, 2 draws, 2 Santomera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Santomera 1-2 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Unión Molinense 0-1 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 25, 2025 | Unión Molinense 1-2 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2025 | Santomera 0-0 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Santomera 0-1 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Unión Molinense 2-2 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Santomera vs Unión Molinense on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Unión Molinense score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Santomera score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Molinense | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Santomera | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unión Molinense sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (11 points from 6 matches) and Santomera sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Unión Molinense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
A question about Unión Molinense vs Santomera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unión Molinense vs Santomera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Santomera.
- Where and when is Unión Molinense vs Santomera played?
- Unión Molinense vs Santomera is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.