El Palmar vs San Javier: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, El Palmar
The Footlab AI model makes San Javier the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for El Palmar. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Javier wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,810 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Palmar vs San Javier?
San Javier starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,796 vs 1,669).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for El Palmar vs San Javier
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
El Palmar
Not enough data to predict the El Palmar lineup.
San Javier
Not enough data to predict the San Javier lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Palmar have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; San Javier have 4, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Algar(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Los Garres(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
How many goals should we expect?
El Palmar score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; San Javier score 1.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Palmar | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| San Javier | 1.8 | 0.8 | 3 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | San Javier | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
A question about El Palmar vs San Javier?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Palmar vs San Javier?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Javier the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for El Palmar.
- Where and when is El Palmar vs San Javier played?
- El Palmar vs San Javier is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 2, 2027Los GarresvsAtlético Pulpileño
- May 2, 2027SFC MinervavsBullas Deportivo
- May 2, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsAlgar
- May 2, 2027Bala AzulvsCartagena LU II
- May 2, 2027AlcantarillavsOlímpico Totana
- May 2, 2027Unión MolinensevsSantomera
- May 2, 2027Águilas IIvsMazarrón FC
- May 2, 2027Santa CruzvsBalsicas Atlético