Los Garres vs Atlético Pulpileño: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Tejeras, Murcia
The Footlab model makes Los Garres the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Atlético Pulpileño. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Garres vs Atlético Pulpileño?
Atlético Pulpileño starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (1,784 vs 1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Garres have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Atlético Pulpileño have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | Elche(home) | 0-4 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Manises(home) | 2-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Manises(away) | 0-2 | Copa del Rey |
| May 1, 2022 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 22, 2022 | UD Caravaca(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | El Palmar(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Los Garres win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Atlético Pulpileño win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2021 | Atlético Pulpileño 1-0 Los Garres | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Los Garres 0-1 Atlético Pulpileño | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 8, 2019 | Los Garres 0-1 Atlético Pulpileño | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Pulpileño vs Los Garres on Mar 14, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Los Garres score 0.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Pulpileño score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Garres | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Atlético Pulpileño | 0.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Atlético Pulpileño | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 30 | 29 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Garres vs Atlético Pulpileño?
- The Footlab model makes Los Garres the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Atlético Pulpileño.
- Where and when is Los Garres vs Atlético Pulpileño played?
- Los Garres vs Atlético Pulpileño is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Tejeras, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.