Bala Azul vs Santa Cruz: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 · Matchday 7Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Playa Sol, Puerto de Mazarrón
The Footlab AI model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Bala Azul. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santa Cruz wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,580 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bala Azul vs Santa Cruz?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Bala Azul (1,727) and Santa Cruz (1,774).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bala Azul vs Santa Cruz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bala Azul
Not enough data to predict the Bala Azul lineup.
Santa Cruz
Not enough data to predict the Santa Cruz lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 09:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Azul have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Santa Cruz have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alcantarilla(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bala Azul wins, 0 draws, 2 Santa Cruz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Bala Azul 0-1 Santa Cruz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Santa Cruz 1-0 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Bala Azul vs Santa Cruz on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bala Azul | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Santa Cruz | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bala Azul sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (13 points from 9 matches) and Santa Cruz sit 2nd (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Santa Cruz | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 18 |
| 8 | Bala Azul | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
A question about Bala Azul vs Santa Cruz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bala Azul vs Santa Cruz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Bala Azul.
- Where and when is Bala Azul vs Santa Cruz played?
- Bala Azul vs Santa Cruz is played on November 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.