Where and when is Mazarrón FC vs Los Garres played?

Mazarrón FC vs Los Garres is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mazarrón FC vs Los Garres: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón, Mazarrón

Mazarrón FC

Los Garres

The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Los Garres. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mazarrón FC vs Los Garres?

Mazarrón FC starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,583).

Mazarrón FC win59 %

Draw25 %

Los Garres win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazarrón FC have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Los Garres have 1, 1 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mazarrón FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Real Murcia II(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 16, 2026	Real Murcia II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 10, 2026	Atlético Pulpileño(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Águilas II(home)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	UCAM Murcia II(away)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Los Garres
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Oct 29, 2025	Elche(home)	0-4	Copa del Rey
Oct 4, 2025	Manises(home)	2-0	Copa del Rey
Sep 27, 2025	Manises(away)	0-2	Copa del Rey
May 1, 2022	Lorca Deportiva(home)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 22, 2022	UD Caravaca(away)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mazarrón FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Los Garres win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 10, 2022	Los Garres 0-2 Mazarrón FC	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 28, 2021	Mazarrón FC 1-0 Los Garres	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2021	Mazarrón FC 1-2 Los Garres	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 11, 2021	Los Garres 3-2 Mazarrón FC	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Mar 8, 2020	Los Garres 1-2 Mazarrón FC	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 20, 2019	Mazarrón FC 1-2 Los Garres	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Los Garres vs Mazarrón FC on Apr 10, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Mazarrón FC score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Los Garres score 0.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mazarrón FC	1.5	1.1	5	9/15	5/15
Los Garres	0.5	2.3	1	5/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Mazarrón FC	34	14	14	6	50	33	55

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mazarrón FC vs Los Garres?: The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Los Garres.
Where and when is Mazarrón FC vs Los Garres played?: Mazarrón FC vs Los Garres is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.