Match

Algar vs Bala Azul: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sánchez Luengo, El Algar

AlgarBala Azul

The Footlab AI model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Algar. The most likely score is 0-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Algar vs Bala Azul?

Bala Azul starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (1,739 vs 1,567).

16%22%62%
Algar winDrawBala Azul win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Algar vs Bala Azul

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Algar

4-3-3
  1. AAdrian Marty
  2. AAlejandro Martin
  3. NNasta
  1. MMichel Vidal
  2. MManuel Rodriguez
  3. SSergio Jiménez
  1. CChiqui
  2. LLázaro Rubio Nicolás
  3. DDani Ruiz
  4. JJuan Gavilánez
  1. GGuillermo Yepes Moreno

Bala Azul

Not enough data to predict the Bala Azul lineup.

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:22 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algar have 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 defeats; Bala Azul have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Algar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026San Javier(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 4, 2026Cartagena LU II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 27, 2026Balsicas Atlético(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 20, 2026Santomera(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 13, 2026Bullas Deportivo(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Atlético Pulpileño(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 27, 2026Alcantarilla(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 20, 2026Águilas II(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 12, 2026Mazarrón FC(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 6, 2026Olímpico Totana(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

How many goals should we expect?

Algar score 0.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Algar0.82.416/1510/15
Bala Azul1.51.467/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Algar sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (3 points from 6 matches) and Bala Azul sit 9th (8 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Bala Azul6222778
17Algar61053133

A question about Algar vs Bala Azul?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Algar vs Bala Azul?
The Footlab AI model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Algar.
Where and when is Algar vs Bala Azul played?
Algar vs Bala Azul is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sánchez Luengo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Algar and Bala Azul

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